May 2008

17-Year Cycle AND 34-Year Cycle & Energy
Earth Instability Rising – into 2010/2011 and then into 2017/2018

May 2008 – To recap, from the 17-Year Cycle & Energy Report & May 2008 INSIIDE Track, Mt. Vesuvius has had – for hundreds of years – a very consistent 17-20 Year Cycle of major eruptions.  The following is a breakdown of the active phases since 1631, followed by major eruptions since then…

Mt. Vesuvius Active Phases:

1913-44, 1875-1906, 1874, 1870-72, 1864-68, 1855-61, 1854-55, 1841-50, 1835-39, 1824-34, 1796-1822, 1783-94, 1770-79, 1764-67, 1744-61, 1732-37, 1724-30, 1712-23, 1708, 1706-07, 1701-04, 1697-98, 1696, 1685-94, 1682, 1654-80, 1637-52, 1631-32.

Mt. Vesuvius Major Eruptions:

1944, 1929, 1926, 1906, 1872, 1868, 1861, 1855, 1850, 1839, 1834, 1822, 1794, 1779, 1767, 1760, 1737, 1707, 1698, 1694, 1682 & 1660.

Prior to 1944, the largest gap between eruptions was 34 years (2 x 17-Years).  As  discussed recently, there are many uncanny 34-Year Cycles – including the one described involving the Leonid meteor storms.  These 34-Year Cycles possess even greater significance and clarity than the 17-Year Cycle.

A perfect example involves stock market crashes – of 35-50% – that have occurred at a regular & precise 34-Year Cycle interval since the 1800’s.  That is why 2007–2009 is so dangerous in the markets.

With respect to volcanic activity – and in particular Mt. Vesuvius – there is an intriguing combination of the 17-Year Cycle, the 34-Year Cycle and the nearby (but even more significant) 40-Year Cycle.  All three converge to project a Major eruption for Vesuvius in 2017–2018

The following is a breakdown of the cycles between many of the most significant eruptions of Vesuvius for the past 250 years.  They arrived at a very consistent 34-40 year cycle (the specific cycle is listed in paranthesis after each date)…

1760, 1794 (34), 1834 (40), 1872 (38), 1906 (34) & 1944 (38).

This amounts to a 34-40 Year Cycle between each major eruption, a 72-78 Year Cycle between every 2 eruptions AND a more precise 110–112 Year Cycle between every 3 eruptions.  As one expands the focus – and looks at the larger-degree cycle – it actually becomes more precise.

As for 1978–1984… nothing (at least nothing noteworthy) emerged.

The next cycle begins in 2012 and extends into 2024 (since there is no intervening eruption, I am forced to calculate the extremes of 2-34 Year Cycles and 2-40 Year Cycles from 1944).

If I was to take the average of these eruptions, it comes out to 36.8 years.

This would project – based on two cycles added to 1944 – a major eruption in/around 2017/2018.  That precise time frame is also when 7 cycles – from the 1760 eruption – reaches fruition.  (36.8 years times 7 = 257.6 years; 1760 + 257.6 years = 2017/2018.)

That coincides with longer-term cycles that previously concluded: “…major eruptions in ancient history point to 2014 – 2017…”  That also coincides with the period when cycles of Major solar storms converge.

Another way of viewing this combination (of the 34 & 40-Year Cycles) is similar to the 3-4 year periods discussed in the 17-Year Cycle of Earthquake Swarms.  That recurring cycle portends Major earthquakes in the coming years – with 2010 representing the culmination.

On a larger basis, Vesuvius has had an 85-Year Cycle of Major Eruptions (5 xs 17-Year Cycle) that incorporates an 8-9 year period every 85 years.  It incorporates other significant activity of the past 300+ years.  These include the eruptions of 1682, 1767, 1850 (& 1855) and 1929.  The cycle looks like this:

1674-1682 (1682 eruption)

1759-1767 (1767 eruption)

1844-1852 (1850 eruption, followed by 1855 eruption)

1929-1937 (1929 eruption)

2014-2022 (Vesuvius eruption?  2017/2018??  2022???)

This overlaps so many related cycles in 2014-2017… and beyond.