September 28, 2013
17-Year Cycle Poised to Usher in ‘Shaky’ Mid-Decade Period;
09/28/13 INSIIDE Track: “Outlook 2013/2014… Mid-Decade Cycles Nearing…
The Seismic Sequence
The 2010’s have also been forecast to experience a resurgence of a rather routine (from a cyclical perspective) sequence of earth-destabilizing events. This was projected to begin with a series of major earthquakes in 2010–2012, first in Chile then in Japan and then in N. America.
That was the conclusion – published and reiterated throughout 2009 – based on a myriad of cycles, including many that were linked to the 17-Year Cycle of Earthquake Swarms.
A higher level of that cycle (3 periods of 17 years) creates an approximate 50-year cycle of Major earth disturbances that last recurred in 1957–1965 (when 5 earthquakes of magnitudes 8.5–9.5 rocked the Earth) and also incorporates major quakes and volcanoes in 1906–1914 (including S.F. & Messina, Italy quakes), in 1855–1863 (including the real ‘Big One’ in California – the 1857 Ft. Tejon quake of 8.0 magnitude) and in 1804–1812 (including New Madrid quakes).
The conclusion was that 2008–2016 would see another period of multiple, Major earthquakes (8.0+) around the globe, ultimately leading into a period of increasing volcanic activity in 2012–2017 (two corroborating volcanic cycles – one in 2012–2014 and the other in 2014–2017).
A corresponding conclusion was that Japan would see a Major earthquake in 2011 – linked to an uncanny 17-Year Japanese Earthquake Swarm Cycle that dated back to 1585 and had most recently recurred in 1993–1997 & 1976–1978 – projecting a new round of earth-shaking events for 2010–2012… with focus progressing to potential volcanoes (Mt. Fuji, etc.) to follow.
Tragically, that 2011 Japan Earthquake Cycle was uncanny in its precision – a harbinger of the March 2011 quake (and nuclear catastrophe; see 2009–2010 analysis that also projected a related nuclear incident for that cycle) that soon followed. With that cycle so accurately fulfilled, it adds some credibility to related Japan volcano cycles in 2014 (-2015).
As is the case with Mediterranean volcano cycles (Italy, Greece, etc.), those in Japan have the greatest synergy in 2014. And, there are related Indonesian volcano cycles that also converge in 2014–2015 (see the 2009–2010 analysis in publications at www.insiidetrack.com, including those listed in the accompanying box).
The reason for elaborating on these volcano cycles is to continue an ongoing discussion on the seismic activity expected in the 2010’s, a potential parallel to the 1810’s. As stated last month:
“That is when the eruption of Mt. Tambora (Indonesia) – in 1815 – capped off a devastating combination of climate-altering events and triggered the so-called ‘Year Without a Summer’ in 1816 – impacting much of the globe. The end result was the worst famine of the 1800’s.
…I have to emphasize the correlation between multiple major earth events… Is it that absurd to think that that kind of persistent, dramatic tectonic activity in one part of the globe could have reverberated through the crust and to another part, immediately after (like the culminating New Madrid quakes in 1812, ushering in the onset of Tambora’s escalating activity)?
…the 2010’s began with several Major earth events, including the record quakes in Chile & Japan in 2010 & 2011… as well as the coinciding Haiti quake. That is similar to 1811–1812. In just the past month, another Indonesian volcano (Mt. Rokatenda, which has been rumbling since Oct. 2012) produced a moderate eruption. This came after a similar eruption in the Philippines on May 7, 2013 (Mayon; same volcano that was erupting in 1814).
Volcanic activity – due to long-term cycles that are decades & centuries in duration – has been projected to rise leading into 2014, so there is an intriguing parallel to the 1810’s. Could 2014 or 2015 mimic the events of 1815 – with a major, volcanic eruption… that impacts climate, just as Pinatubo did in the early-1990’s?
While these recent eruptions are not that significant, relatively speaking, neither were the initial eruptions of Tambora in 1812. It took ~3 more years before the main event.” [End excerpt.]
In many cases, major volcanic eruptions are preceded by a growing intensity of related earthquakes – in the same region and often globally – and even by lesser volcanic eruptions. That was the case with Tambora in the 1810’s, with Mt. Hudson, Unzen & Pinatubo in 1991 and with many other eruptions.
And, the 2010’s are following the same pattern…
First, there were the Major earthquakes of 2010–2011 (with recent Pakistani quakes reinforcing this AND the Alpide Belt Cycle). More recently, it has been increasing volcanic activity (though still considered minor). That includes the Sept. 15th eruption of Sinabung Volcano in Indonesia, sending ash emissions 20,000 feet high and forcing the evacuation of 15,000 people living in the vicinity.
Two days later, small explosions were detected at Mt. Marapi (Indonesia) and then – on Sept. 22/23, the Dukono Volcano (Indonesia) erupted, sending volcanic ash to an altitude of 10,000 feet.
While Marapi is one of the most active volcanoes in Indonesia (making eruptions like this less of a surprise and less significant), Sinabung is quite different. It has recently come out of dormancy and is, apparently, still in the ‘waking up’ phase.
This started on August 27, 2010, when Sinabung triggered a series of 6, large explosive eruptions between August 27th–September 7th (see www.volcanolive.com/sinabung.html).
Immediately after (Oct. 2010), Mt. Merapi experienced a ‘once in a 100 year eruption’ – ushering in the period when scientists had predicted that Merapi would exit a ~100-year period of calm and return to its more-normal, violent activity – like that experienced in ~600–~1900 AD.
After 3 years of relative calm, it is exploding again – hearkening back to Tambora in the 1810’s – which had years of activity before the major, 1815 eruption. The 2010’s have begun with a bang!
[It is worth noting that even Tambora – after decades of relative calm – has re-entered a little more active period that began in late-2009/early-2010 with sizeable earthquakes of 6.7 & 6.1. April–September 2011 saw the next uptick in tectonic activity – prompting an Alert level of 3 (out of a maximum of 4) on Sept. 8, 2011. April 2013 began the third uptick in activity.]
So, Indonesia in the 2010’s is acting similar to Indonesia in the 1810’s. Three different volcanoes have entered – and sustained – a steadily growing level of activity in the 2010’s.
When you consider all the diverse cycles that point to 2014 for a ‘spike’ in volcanic activity (many of which flow through into the ensuing years) – and particularly in Indonesia and the surrounding region – it is hard to ignore the potential correlation between a possible eruption and the recurrence of the 40-Year Cycle of Food Crises (also in the 1970’s, 1930’s, 1890’s, 1850’s & 1810’s).
They dovetail with Dollar/Gold/Silver cycles, Stock Index Crash cycles… and potentially one other coinciding cycle. This is not to imply a direct causal relationship, but rather to highlight the significance – and far-reaching impact – of these cycles – impacting every aspect of human activity.”
2014/2015 Ushers in Destabilizing Period. Stock Index Crash Cycles, Dollar/Gold/Silver Cycles & Food Crises Cycles Pinpoint 2015 (–2016) as Momentous Period! Volcano Cycles – in 2014–2017 – Corroborate.